Friday, October 5, 2012

2012 Postseason Preview

With the addition of two extra playoff teams,

October  Baseball looks to be even better than before
I can’t believe that the 2012 Major League Baseball Season has come to an end. It wasn’t a dream season for the Blue Jays, as they were plagued by many important injuries. There were high hopes for the Blue Jays back in June, but it pretty much went downhill from there. Injuries to Jose Bautista, Brett Lawrie, and J.P. Arencibia insured that 2012 wasn’t our year.


Now, for 1 month, we are not Blue Jays fans, we are baseball fans, and we will watch the 2012 playoffs. It’s truly the greatest time of the year, as we get to watch the 10 best teams in baseball, battle it out to determine the World Series Champion.
I must say, the 2012 MLB was one of the most exciting seasons that I’ve ever experienced. This year brought us 7 no hitters, including 3 perfect games, pitched by Philip Humber, Matt Cain, and King Felix Hernandez. We may have experienced the best rookie season of all time, performed by Mike Trout. Perhaps the most amazing thing we saw this season was witnessing Miguel Cabrera win the Triple Crown, a feat that hadn’t been achieved in over 45 years!
If the regular season was any indication, we’re in store for quite an exciting postseason. I’m here to preview it for you. I will give you guys an in depth look at each team, and series, along with some predictions.
American League
 Wild Card Game: Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers
Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, Friday, 8:30 PM. Yu Darvish vs. Joe Saunders.
We’re in for a fun one here. These two teams could have very easily been division winners. Instead, they play one game, to decide who will advance to the playoffs. It’s actually hard to believe that one of these teams will be eliminated this Friday. On paper, the Rangers win this one. They probably have the best lineup in the major leagues, in terms of offence. 7 of their 9 hitters are true game changing players. (Kinsler, Andrus, Hamilton, Beltre, Cruz, Young, and Napoli) If the Rangers won the division, and finished strong, they were the World Series favourites, in my opinion. Now, it’s not so easy, as they have to get through the wild card, just to face the red hot New York Yankees.
As for the Orioles, they are the luckiest team in all of baseball. They have the best record in one run games in the Major Leagues. If you were to look at their team on paper, you would probably think that they are still the OriLOLes. Yet, this team, under Buck Showalter, have a knack for winning important ball games this year. Adam Jones leads the way for this team, with a career year this year. They have a big power threat in Mark Reynolds and the red hot Chris Davis. Matt Wieters is a very solid catcher defensively and offensively. Surprisingly, Nate Mclouth has done very well in the leadoff spot filling in for Nick Markakis. Their bullpen has been their real strength this year, as Jim Johnson led the AL in saves, with Pedro Strop doing a stellar job in the set up role. I think that the problem for the Orioles (if they win the wild card game) will be starting pitching. I don’t think I trust them in a playoff series with that rotation, featuring Wei Yin-Chen, Jason Hammel, Chris Tillman, and Miguel Gonzalez, especially when their offence isn’t too potent.

Prediction: Rangers: 7 Orioles 6
I really think that Darvish will struggle early, it’s just a gut feeling. I think that Ron Washington will pull him early and give way to his bullpen. After Darvish struggles, twitter will go crazy, as O’s bandwagon fans everywhere will be overjoyed. Meanwhile, the Rangers will chip away at the O’s lead, and eventually will tie the game. I think this game will go into extra innings, ending in an Adrian Beltre walk-off home run. The Rangers will move on to face the Yankees.
Baltimore Orioles or Texas Rangers Vs New York Yankees ALDS. Starts Sunday Oct 7.
If the Rangers move on: The whole baseball world will be watching this one. These are 2 of the most popular teams in the majors facing off. This is very possibly a battle of the 2 best offences in the big leagues. The Yankees come into this series red hot, where as (even though they won the WC game) the Rangers are riding a cold streak.
 I don’t think I have to explain to you what the Yankees are all about. Their core has essentially been the same for many years, a core that includes Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez, Robinson Cano, CC Sabathia, and Curtis Granderson. You can hate them all you want, but they are still one of the best teams in the majors.
Prediction: Yankees win in 4 games
I think that this series will come down to how CC Sabathia fares after recent struggles. If he can win both of his games, I think that the Yankees Offense will power them to win one more. I think Jeter will be hitting .400 after this series concludes. (I have a man-crush on Derek Jeter).
If the Orioles move on:
If this occurs, this will be a series that most baseball fans will be really interested in, as “Cinderella Story O’s vs Big Bad Yankees,” headlines will be all over the internet. I think that it would be a very disappointing series, and the Yankees will run right over the O’s. I think the O’s will have trouble winning 1 game, as the Yankees lineup and rotation will show their true strength.
Prediction: Yankees win in 3 games
I think in this one, even if CC isn’t in his rhythm, the Yanks offence will score enough to take the pressure off. The Orioles won’t even put up a fight. Their rotation will show its true colours, and the offence certainly won’t put up as many runs as the Bronx Bombers.
Oakland Athletics Vs Detroit Tigers. ALDS. Starts Saturday Oct 6.
Oakland really appears to be a team on a mission. I like them this postseason, they’ve been playing some great baseball, and are very, very fun to watch. Billy Beane is a genius, and there’s no other way to put it. He traded away his stud closer, Andrew Bailey, for a guy who really had no success as a big leaguer, Josh Reddick. Bailey was injured for the majority of this season. Reddick, on the other hand, smacked 32 Home Runs and drove in 85 runs, to go along with a cannon for an arm in right field, in an amazing breakout season. Beane also traded away Gio Gonzalez in a huge deal, which already has resulted in a mid-rotation starter and their starting catcher, and there are more prospects from that deal in their system. Another A’s acquisition was Jarrod Parker, who Beane traded away for Trevor Cahill, Parker is now a high end starter, and might already be better than Cahill. Lastly, I think the move that put the A’s over the top, was the signing of Manny Ramirez… Nah I’m just kidding. It was the signing of Yoenis Cespedes, the Cuban star. Cespedes has impressed in every facet of his game. This was a signing in which people believed that it really wasn’t the right fit. A power hitter in a pitchers ballpark didn’t seem like such a genius signing. These people were horribly wrong. The A’s are a team to watch this year.
The Detroit Tigers are just so good. Their record this year didn’t really represent how good of a team they are. Their lineup is scary, which includes Mr. Triple Crown himself, Miguel Cabrera, and then just when you think you have dodged a bullet and gotten Miggy out, you have to face the mighty Prince Fielder. It’s a very deep lineup to go along with the 2 in the middle. Austin Jackson is a very good (not great) leadoff man. I loved the Infante trade, as he is a very serviceable second baseman, which is something they certainly hadn’t had before. Delmon Young, although I hate the anti-Semite, is a very nice option behind Miggy and Prince. Quentin Berry is a very exciting player, he should be a sparkplug for their offence, and Alex Avila is Mr. Solid.
I’ve written this much about the Tigers and I haven’t even gotten to their pitching, that’s how good they are. Where do I start with this pitching staff? Well, the best pitcher in baseball seems like a good place to begin. Justin Verlander has gotten better as the year has gone on. His abilities are untouched by any pitcher in the game. He can dial it up to 100 MPH any time needed, and goes deep into the game every time Leyland throws him out there. Trailing Verlander in both the rotation and the AL strikeout race is Max Scherzer. Scherzer is lights out, it looks like after years of inconsistency, he has finally figured it out. Doug Fister has done very well for the Tigers this year, and had great success in the playoffs last year, if that’s any indication. Lastly, the newly acquired Anibal Sanchez will be pitching in the playoffs for the first time. The future Blue Jay has pitched really well these last few weeks, but pitching in the playoffs is a different animal. We’ll just have to wait and see how he fares.
Prediction: Tigers win in 5 games.
But I don’t want either of them to be eliminated! This will go down as one of the greatest division series’ ever, in my opinion. Every game will be closely contested. Both teams will play their best baseball. I just think that the Tigers’ best baseball is slightly better than the A’s. I’m very excited for this one to start.
New York Yankees Vs Detroit Tigers, ALCS. Starts Saturday, Oct 13.
The Yankees are a great baseball team, with their hitting and the back end of the bullpen being their true strengths. I have learned to respect the Yankees over the years, because as a team, they play baseball the right way. Their organization represents class and history. I’m just not sure that they can beat the Tigers.
I predicted the Yankees to get past the Rangers, but the Rangers at this point, aren’t quite the Tigers. If you put into a calculator, “Rays pitching + Rangers hitting,” your answer would be the Tigers. I’m not sure the Yankees can compete with that.
Prediction: Tigers win in 6 games.
The Detroit Tigers are my pick to win the American League Pennant. This series will be a good one, but Verlander will be the difference, defeating CC in both of their matchups. The Tigers are the most complete team in the American League, they have everything.
National League 
Wild Card Game: St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves.
Turner Field. Friday, 5:00 PM Kyle Lohse Vs. Kris Medlen.
The first thing I would like to say, is that if this game goes into the 9th inning, and the Braves are winning, the Braves win. Craig Kimbrel is a specimen that can’t be explained. His numbers as a closer are unlike we’ve ever seen before. He has struck out 49% of batters that he’s faced! Now that that’s settled, let’s go into what the Braves are all about. Michael Bourn has really struggled in the 2nd half, but if he gets on base, he’s a game-changing player. I can see Andrleton Simmons really affecting this game, just a gut feeling of mine. One thing about Atlanta’s offence is that it’s very deep, no real holes, especially if Dan Uggla is hot. Of course there is Chipper Jones, and Brian McCann, 2 players who have been stars in Atlanta for a long, long time.
I really respect all that St. Louis has done this season. They were expected to be much worse this year, after winning the World Series last year, mainly because of the departure of Albert Pujols. I give a lot of credit to Yadier Molina and Carlos Beltran, as they not only helped ease the pain of losing Pujols, them combined amounted to more value than Pujols, here’s why: Pujols’ WAR (wins above replacement) last year was 5.1. Yadier Molina’s WAR this year was 6.7. Beltran’s was 3.6. Since Pujols had Molina playing on his team last year, we must subtract Yadier’s WAR of last year from his WAR of this year. (6.7 – 2.6= 4.1) Now, we add Beltran’s WAR to Yadier’s WAR (4.1+3.6=7.7) Beltran’s WAR combined with Yadier’s modified WAR is greater than Pujols’ 2011 WAR of 5.1, and it’s not really close. I’m not saying that WAR means everything, but it’s certainly an interesting way of looking at things.
The Cardinals apart from Beltran and the emergence of Molina are basically the same team that they were last year, and they won the World Series. So who says they can’t do it again?
Prediction: Braves 4, Cardinals 0.
I do, I say they can’t do it again. Mainly because they are running into Kris Medlen. Medlen has been the best pitcher in the 2nd half. I’m not quite sure how he does it, but he is shutting down offences like no one else. It’s a shame for the Cardinals that they have to run into Medlen in a one game playoff, but things like this will go on for years and years with this wild card system MLB has in place. As for the game, I think it’ll be quite boring. I think that Chipper will go deep. The Braves will just build a lead gradually with no sign of a comeback from the Cards.
Atlanta Braves or St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals NLDS. Begins Sunday Oct 7.
If Braves move on: The Nats will be a World Series contender for years to come. Their core will be the best in the MLB, in my opinion, eventually. Their lineup is very strong, with the likes of “The Phenom,” Bryce Harper, ageless Adam Laroche, Mike Morse, Ian Desmond, Ryan Zimmerman, and Jayson Werth.  But, unfortunately for the Nats, this is their first time in the playoffs. Regular season wins are one thing, but winning in the playoffs is a whole different world. The Braves on the other hand, are a team that has been in the playoffs almost annually.
Prediction: Braves win in 4 games,
The Braves will win it pretty handedly too. The Nats rotation isn’t even as good as people make it out to be, especially with no Strasburg. Gio will be outdueled by Medlen in the first game, Zimmermann will win the 2nd game, then the Braves will put the foot down and blow out the Nats in games 3 and 4. The fact that Washington’s even considering using Lannan is absurd.
If Cardinals Move on: This one would be a little more interesting, although I think it won’t happen. Yes, the Cardinals have just as much playoff experience as the Braves, but I think that the Braves are a more complete team. The lineups are similar, but I think when it comes to pitching, (bullpen included) the Braves are much better. I think experience will come into play, but it won’t have as much impact as it would in a series with the Braves. I think the Nationals match up better with the Cardinals than they do with the Braves. I’d go as far to say that these are the 2 most similar teams in the Major Leagues, when it comes to talent.
Prediction: Cardinals win in 5 games.
If you hadn’t noticed, I’m not a firm believer in “Natitude” this year. This would be a fun series to watch, with 2 teams that don’t like each other at all. Experience will be the difference here, again. I can see a Chris Carpenter vs Gio Gonzalez game 5, NLDS 2011-esque.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds NLDS, starts Saturday Oct 6.
This will be another fun one. The Reds really haven’t struggled all season. They are consistently awesome. Some doubt if their playoff rotation can keep up, but I actually think that Cueto, Arroyo, Latos is lethal. Latos has been one of the best pitchers in the National league since the All Star Break, with a 2.84 ERA. Johnny Cueto has been the 2nd best pitcher in the whole National League all year, finishing the year 19-9, with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. The Reds offence is very overlooked. They have who may be the best pure hitter in the game, in Joey Votto, as well as All-Star 2nd baseman, Brandon Phillips, and the wildly underrated Jay Bruce. Watch out for the Reds.
The Giants, on the other hand, aren’t to shabby themselves. They have the NL MVP this year, catcher Buster Posey. Pablo Sandoval is a top 3 (perhaps) 3rd baseman in all of baseball, and Hunter Pence in right field, whom they acquired in a trade with the Phillies, so the middle of the order is as good as it gets. What concerns me, is the rest of the lineup. The lineup contains a platoon of Brandon Crawford and Joaquin Arias at shortstop, Marco Scutaro at 2nd base, Brandon Belt at 1st base, and a platoon of Gregor Blanco and Xavier Nady in Left Field. I can’t see a team getting very far with those 6 in the lineup consistently. The only way that the Giants go further than the first round, is if their pitching really amps it up in a big way, which it is capable of doing, mind you.
Prediction: Reds win in 4 Games.
Posey, Pence, and Sandoval will do what they can, but in the end, the Giants just won’t score enough runs. The Reds will out-hit the Giants, and it’s really as simple as that. Their pitching staffs are similar enough that the games will be close, but the Reds will be in command all series.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves NLCS. Starts Sunday Oct 14.
The Reds have the ability to win this series. That’s a fact. Their rotation is strong, their bullpen is strong, their lineup is strong. I can’t take anything away from them.
The Braves have the ability to win this series. That’s a fact. Their rotation is strong, their bullpen is strong, their lineup is strong. I can’t take anything away from them either.
I guess what I’m trying to say here is that this series could go either way. There are no glowing flaws in either of these teams. All I know is that it’s going to be fun.
Prediction: Braves in 7 games.
I don’t have a reason for it here. I think Chipper will come up with a big hit. I’m just going with my gut. The Braves are my pick to win the National League Pennant.
World Series
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves. Starts Wednesday, Oct 24
By this time in the playoffs, most of my predictions will most likely be proven wrong, but nevermind that, I’m here to break down what I think will happen in this year’s Fall Classic. This year, unlike other years, I believe that the 2 best teams in the MLB will make it to the World Series. They are the 2 most complete, the 2 most well managed, and the 2 most talented teams in all of baseball.
Like before, my high praise for Detroit continues. In terms of starting pitching, they are superior to the Braves. In terms of hitting, they are about equal, and I’d give the edge to the Braves when it comes to bullpen. When it comes to the managers, both are great, but I’ll give Leyland the slight edge over Gonzalez.
Prediction: Tigers win in 6 games!
Justin Verlander will be the difference as he’ll outduel Medlen in this thriller of a series. Chipper Jones will have a series to remember, but fall short in his last career playoff series. Miguel Cabrera will get hot, scorching hot. I think that he will hit a walk-off home run at some point in the series. The Detroit Tigers will win the World Series in 2012.
Isaac Boloten


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Wednesday, October 3, 2012

AA Needs to Give Toronto Some October Baseball in 2013


AA will hopefully be on the phone a lot this
off-season as he searches for a few starting
 pitchers to help the Jays in 2013.
I am not writing this article to make a point that AA is running out of time in his new GM honeymoon. He isn't. It is completely unfair to start saying Alex Anthopolous is doing a bad job before his draft jewels like the Lansing 3(soon to be Dunedin 3) or the key pieces he has received in trades have made it up to the majors. I am writing this to say that if AA is smart, which he clearly is, then he would do everything in his power to make sure that the Blue Jays are playing meaningful games in September come 2013, and maybe even a few games in everybody's favourite baseball month, October. I also don't want this to sound like something you'll read on Bleacher Report(if you were to be reading Bleacher Report of course, it would be against your will), but it might due to the list I'm about to give, so bare with me on that one. So...On to the reasons why AA should get this team to October next year.

5. The Beast Doesn't Like Being Wrong
Paul Beeston made a pretty big declaration at the State of the Franchise event last January that he expects this Blue Jays team to make the playoffs about 3 times in the next 5 years. This year is over with no postseason play for the Jays, which only leaves 4 more years. Making the playoffs 3 times in 4 years is a daunting task, especially in the AL East.Just ask the Rays, or the Red Sox, or the Glory Year Blue Jays. Considering that the current Blue Jays team doesn't really have a chance until 2014, Alex needs to do some retooling this off-season. Whether it is through free agency or trades, AA needs to work some of his Ninja magic and make sure Paul Beeston isn't wrong by acquiring some starting pitching!

4. It Could Always Be Your Last Chance
We all know it. In fact, most people in North America know it. Toronto Sports fans are arguably the worst fans in the world.They turned on Leafs GM Brian Burke after 4(?) years. Nobody goes to TFC games anymore because it isn't the least bit exciting watch your home team get killed, for 90+ minutes.  Brian Colangelo has a great reputation, and the Raptors have no hope anyways in the Star dominated NBA, so he sort of gets a free pass when it comes to Raptors fans.AA isn't going to last very long if he doesn't produce a team that can get to the playoffs. The Toronto streets are filled with uneducated fans who will turn against the Silent Assassin himself if something doesn't happen pretty soon. In fact, a lot of "fans" already have turned. AA wants to keep his job. We want AA to keep his job. But we, the rational, level headed, next generation Blue Jays fans, who understand what it takes to build a winner, and understand how long it takes for a farm system to be developed, are not the majority in Toronto. If the Jays suffer another losing season next year, I can almost guarantee that people's patience will have run out, and there will be a lot of people calling for Alex's head(or job in this case). In order for Alex to avoid that inevitable situation, he will need to satisfy our playoff needs in 2013.

3. Don't Repeat the Mistakes of the Past
Gord Ash and JPR wasted Carlos Delgado. JPR wasted Roy Halladay. AA cannot do that with Jose Bautista. Jose is turning 32 in a couple of weeks. He isn't getting younger. He is going to be coming off of major wrist surgery next season, and there are no guarantees that he will regain his old form. It could be too late to take advantage of Jose's home run hitting powers. It probably won't be, but AA only has a few years left before Jose will be completely out of his prime(which he is currently exiting), and he will have to be a DH who has a good eye and will hit 20-30 homers.Alex needs to show Jose some good faith,and get some starters, so that Jose has a chance to hit a world series winning walk off homer before his talent is no more.

2. The AL East is Very Weak Right Now
A lot of you are probably disagreeing with me on this one, but if you think about it, the AL East isn't as strong as it once was. The Red Sox are almost Astro(Houston) like. The Orioles will come back down to reality next year. The Rays have no offense, and it doesn't seem like they will be getting some anytime soon. The Yankees eventually need to age, don't they? By 2014, the Rays could have traded for or signed a big offensive player. Baltimore's prospects might get them out of sucking. The Red Sox might actually have a functioning clubhouse, although I think we all doubt that will actually occur. The Yankees, well the Yankees....The Yankees might go spend half a billion dollars on some free agents and could wind up retooling their aging core(though they are trying to lower their payroll). 2013 is a perfect year for the Jays to strike, and with more chances at the playoffs than ever before(well except for this year), AA should go for it.

1.Take Advantage of Those Idiots that play Hockey
The NHL is locked out. From what I've been reading, a full season cancellation is very possible.I, amongst many others, left hockey for good in 2004 which is the last time the NHL locked out. Many more will do the same this year. If Alex makes a a big free agent signing and acquires a pitcher or two via trade, the Blue Jays fan base will no doubt begin to grow. If there is any off-season which could contribute to expanding the fan base, an off-season where Canada's game is not being played professionally is 100% the one to take advantage of. With the Jays set to start losing some money in the new revenue sharing program, a couple more fans can't hurt, can it?

Leave your comments below.

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Wednesday, September 19, 2012

The 3 Basic Moves AA Needs to Make this Off-Season

Before going after starting pitching, which obviously should be Blue Jays GM Alex Anthopolous' number 1 priority this off-season, there are 3 basic moves that I think should be made by the 3rd year GM. 2 to help(or clear up) the bullpen, and 1 to fill the void at second base that will be made when, hopefully, Kelly Johnson packs his things, and goes to strike out somewhere else in the MLB.

1.Let RP Brandon Lyon walk as a Free Agent: It is hard for me to say this as it has been a great pleasure to see Lyon sit batters down like it's going out of style since coming over in that huge not so huge trade with the Astros completed in July, but it needs to be done. The 33 year old from Salt Lake City,Utah has a k/9 ratio of 11.1 with the Jays this year(20.1 IP), but is making $5.5MM in 2012. Given his success this season, I see no reason why that salary will not be in the $7MM range next season, which is a huge amount of money, and frankly, I rather see that spent elsewhere. Unfortunately the Blue Jays will not receive any compensation for letting Lyon walk, except for that extra cash to spend on other aspects of the team that need fixing.
If Lyon is not brought back, the bullpen in 2013 should look like this, barring any FA signings and/or trades, injuries.
CL Casey Janssen
SU Sergio Santos
SU Darren Oliver
MRP Steve Delabar
MRP Brad Lincoln
MRP Aaron Loup
MRP Brett Cecil
Which brings me to my next point of...
2. Sign Brett Cecil to a 4 year, $6.25MM contract extension with 2, $1.5MM club options for 2017 and 2018:"What? The guy has a career 4.73 ERA and you want to extend him?" Ya, that's exactly what I want done...how did you know?(was it because it says that above this?) Cecil is lights out against lefties, and will make a great reliever for many years to come. His velocity has been down as a starter the past couple of seasons as a starter, but when he relieves, his velocity sits at 91-92. Still not so good, but at least whenever he makes a mistake at that velocity, it won't be out of the ballpark every time. With the upcoming vacancy in the Blue Jays bullpen due to Brandon Lyon's imminent departure, and due to he fact that Cecil is 26 year old lefty killer who can fill multiple roles for you in the bullpen and rotation, there is no good reason why not to extend him. This contract would buy out his 3 arbitration years, and his 1st year of free agency. Then, AA would have two perfectly priced Anthoptions on him for 2017 and 2018. This is an easy way to keep Cecil, who is a lefty, in your bullpen for at least 4 more years, and save money. Instead of having to sign a lefty killer every off-season, AA will now have one for a cheap price, and, for 2013, should make a nasty 1-2 punch against lefties with Darren Oliver. Another reason why this is a no brainer for Alex; some fans are starting to turn against him, and signing Cecil, who is a fan favourite, could get some of those "Fans" back. This move would solidify the bullpen, and save money, which could be used to...
3. Sign Marco Scutaro to a 1 year, $6.5MM contract, with a club option for 2014 at $6MM: Scutaro is the exact opposite of current Blue Jays 2nd baseman Kelly Johnson. He rarely misses the ball(only 48 strikeouts in all of 2012), and, as a result of that, he gets on base, a lot! He has a .372 OBP since being acquired by the Giants in July(49 GP), and a career mark of .339. Marco, who played with the Jays for 2 season in 2008 and 2009, is just the stop gap AA needs, as there really are no second base or shortstop prospects in the Blue Jays system right now. Chances are Scutaro will re-sign with the Giants, as he said he would like to do, but if not, AA better jump on this opportunity to get a second baseman. A move like this would allow the Blue Jays to trade one of Yunel Escobar or Adeiny Hechavarria, as only one of them would no longer be needed. So, a signing of Scutaro  could fill a hole in the rotation. Yup, another amazing reason to get Scutaro back north of the border!

What do you think of these moves, let us know with your well appreciated comments below.

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Sunday, September 9, 2012

Baseball in Autumn


I love Autumn.  The leaves begin to change color and the temperature begins to be bearable.  I love wearing hoodies and vests.  The long drives just to see the new colors as they appear.  Autumn is also when the postseason begins for baseball.  
There already are commercials on FOX promoting their postseason coverage.  The Blue Jays have not been in the fall classic in over 19 years now since they won it all in 1993.  This season will be no different.  This season will also be completed with an asterix beside it with all of the injuries they have endured. 

But there is something bigger than getting players healthy that needs to be addressed next season.
The Toronto Blue Jays need to fix the impression that the average fan has of them.  

Below is a picture from the local newspaper that I received at my front porch just a few hours ago.  





I would like to think that the cartoonist is taking a double shot at the team by poking fun at the fact that the Baltimore Orioles (I know its a robin not an Oriole but its looks close enough) are in playoff contention and the Blue Jays are not, but I doubt they were that smart.

Ever since players like Carlos Delgado, Roger Clemons and recently Roy Halladay; I believe the mainstream media have been taking shots at the Blue Jays for their lack of success.  I am not talking about the major sports media outlets, who showcase the nightly highlight shows on TV.  But the average Toronto newscast.
If your reading this, chances are you probably are a Blue Jays fan, but think about what the average guy at work thinks about the Blue Jays when you mention their losses as of late.
I am not sure why people who don’t know or watch the Blue Jays have this idea that they are not a good team.

The only thing to combat that notion is winning – and a lot of it.  In the past 10 years, the Blue Jays have won at least 81 games, 7 out of the 10 seasons.  Only once (in 2004) did they lose 90 or more games.  A feat they are not on pace for but could reach.  They have averaged the 4th worst attendance percentage (at 54.5% with 26,854 people per game).  Beating only Houston, Cleveland and Seattle percentage wise.

I think they are at least 20-25,000 fans in Toronto who regularly attend games.  The trick is getting the other 40% of the dome filled.  At the beginning of the season I was seeing a lot more hats and jerseys around the city.  There was an excitement in April surrounding the Blue Jays.  We all had a feeling the post season might be a reach, but an 81 game season, was attainable.

We all know that every team has injuries and other hurdles they need to move past to have great seasons.  Injuries will hold any team back but to have the amount the Blue Jays have had (and are still having with Happ and now Cooper just this week), it certainly can be a buzz kill.

The thing that holds Jays fans attention is the development on the young rookies – Gose, Hech, Lawrie, and Sierra.  But try selling that to the fan who couldn’t tell you where the Blue Jays triple-AAA team plays or what position Brett Lawrie naturally plays.

Its easy to say, ‘those are not really fans anyways’.  But as long as the Blue Jays play in the Rogers Centre, the team will have to find a way to attract the other 40% of fans who come to be entertained by wins alone.

Sadly, until the Blue Jays play in October, we will continue to see comics like this appear in local newspapers across Toronto.  The idea that the Blue Jays are losers needs to be reversed.  Lets hope 2013 is the beginning of something special like it was in 1989 when they won the AL East and began to build towards 5 years of success and two world series wins.

Derek

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Thursday, September 6, 2012

Something is Happ-ening Here


The Toronto Blue Jays were the #1 team in Runs Scored…and then the (pitching) wheels fell off. Actually, broke off might be slightly more appropriate. In July the Blue Jays were forced to deal with significant injuries to Morrow, Drabek, Hutchison, Frasor, Perez; compounded with the season-ending early injuries to Santos and McGowan. I believe that the introduction and performance of J.A. Happ is a big part of the silver lining that Blue Jays fans will have to sift through in order to step back from the ledge.

J.A. Happ was brought into the Blue Jays organization earlier this season from Houston as part of a stopgap program of pitching help that GM Anthopoulos attempted. The Blue Jays pitching rotation was decimated by injuries around the midpoint of the 2012 season, and Happ was the type of available player that could help keep the team afloat. However, bad news became grave news. The injuries that piled up have been devastating and yet the addition of southpaw Happ should be good news.

J.A. Happ was an intriguing young pitcher who found brilliant early success with the Philadelphia Phillies. Happ was rumoured to be a part of Roy Halladay trade talks – and as history has proven, AA always gets his man. Happ has faltered in recent years, giving up far too many HRs and not displaying the crisp fastball command that attracted so many suitors in 2009. Happ saw his numbers post-2009 begin to climb in the wrong direction: higher H/9 doubled his ER/9, almost doubled his BB/9, and as his manager in Houston pointed out his “arm” just didn’t work like it should.
 
The mysterious aura surrounding the J.A. Happ fastball up in the zone continues to perplex hitters. Watching Happ repeatedly deliver his 91-93mph fastball up in the zone without it being punished is stupefying. Yet it works! I anticipate the 2013 Toronto Blue Jays to give Happ a legitimate chance at the starting rotation, and I would be very content with a solid veteran innings-eater who can pitch to the caliber of a Clayton Richard or Randy Wells. With all of the uncertainty surrounding this young promising team, a little stability is a welcome sign of reprieve.


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Wednesday, September 5, 2012

Is the Bullpen the Place for Brett Cecil?

When Brett Cecil was called back up to the Blue Jays a few days ago, Jays Manager John Farrell placed him in the bullpen to be part of the Relief corps. Cecil made his 1st appearance as a Relief Pitcher for the Jays on Monday, pitching 2 innings allowing 3 hits,2 walks, and 1 earned run. Looking at that line you assume he pitched very badly, but his outing was actually very promising. His fastball velocity was up(a product of being in the bullpen), and his slider, as always, was nasty against lefties. Cecil came into ST this season a lot lighter than last season, 32 pounds lighter! This was part of an effort to regain his lost velocity that went missing in 2011. It did nothing, and Cecil was in the same situation as 2011, just he was in better shape. Brett made 9 starts earlier this season filling in for one of the injured spots in the rotation. He wasn't so bad(minus 2 horrible starts on June 23rd and July 8th), but was sent down a few weeks ago when his fill-in services were no longer needed.

The question with Brett over the past couple of seasons has been;Is Brett Cecil best suited in the rotation, or is he better off in the bullpen?

There are obviously 2 sides to this debate, and I think the Blue Jays are finally realizing that he could be a very dominant reliever.
Reasons why Brett should be a Reliever
Brett, like a lot of lefties, is a lefty killer! Left handers are hitting just .189 against him this season, and only .231 lifetime. He can be used as a lefty specialist out of the bullpen, and would be very dominant. A switch to being a reliever at this stage in Brett's career would be similar to what fellow teammate Darren Oliver did earlier on in his long career. Darren suffered through 12 full horrific years of starting before finally switching to being a reliever in 2004. Ever since then he has been one of the best in the game, and has been able to extend his career because of it. Of course Darren switched much later on in his career than where Brett is right now, but it might not be such a bad idea.

As I mentioned earlier, Brett lost 2-3 MPH on his fastball last season, and has not gained them back.  He went from throwing 91-92 in 2010, to 87-89 this season and in 2011.  Those numbers are when starting, as on Monday, when he was relieving, he averaged 90.92 MPH, but hit 92 multiple times.When he was drafted, as a closer, Brett was throwing 94-95 MPH. So, we can assume that if Brett does regain that lost velocity, he could be throwing around 94 MPH consistently out of the bullpen. Is a reliever who is lights out against lefties, has a hard fastball, and a nasty slider more valuable than what Cecil could be as a starter?

How Brett can get back to being a solid #4 Starter
Obviously, the easiest way for Brett to get back to being a good back of the rotation pitcher is by regaining his velocity. But how could he do that? It is most likely pretty simple. Brett lost all of that weight last off-season in a very short period of time. His arm was not going to get stronger from him getting "weaker".  If Brett is able to add some muscle to his new thin body, he might be able to get that extra zip on his fastball again. If he can sit over 90 MPH again, he doesn't need to rely completely on control. He would be able to leave a ball over the plate without knowing that it will get crushed. Right now, when he leaves a 86 or 87 MPH fastball down the heart of the plate, it is not coming back. Another factor that has to do with velocity is his GB%. In 2010, batters were hitting the ball on the ground almost 45% of the time against Cecil. This season they are putting it on the ground at a rate of 34%.  That's a huge factor that has led to his HR/9 rate go up by .20. Putting on that extra muscle to compliment his new body could get Cecil throwing hard again, and back to how he was in 2010, or even better.

I feel like this article was all over the place, so I'll just summarize my points.
1. Cecil's lefty splits would make him a great specialist out of the bullpen.
2. Cecil's increased velocity as a reliever makes him more effective in that role.

1. Brett can gain that velocity back if he puts on muscle this off-season to compliment all the weight he lost last winter. This would get him back up to 91-92 when starting, and he would be a good back end starter.
2. With that increased velocity would come less home runs(which has been Cecil's kryptonite this season), and more ground ball outs.

Where do you prefer Brett? If he doesn't regain his past velocity, would you still want him there? Leave your comments below with your opinion.

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Tuesday, August 28, 2012

The Great Blue Jays Catcher Conundrum

Unfortunately for him, JPA's power
is his only valuable asset.
I have spent countless tweets debating this issue. I have even been blocked by a couple of people(although 1 has unblocked me after a couple of months) because of their sincere love for JPA, and my countless arguments against him. It is a great problem to have but unfortunately, it has divided Jays Nation, and has probably kept Blue Jays GM Alex Anthopoulos up countless nights(although I imagine his newborn son has as well). What to do with the Blue Jays catching situation in 2013 and beyond? As we all know, J.P. Arencibia has clearly shown that he will hit you 20+ home runs a year, but he doesn't get on base. Travis d'Arnaud has not shown anything in the Majors, but his minor league numbers are better than JPA's, and he projects to be better. Anyways, I thought I would put all my arguments for my side(Travis d'Arnaud starting) down into a post so the people who disagree with me can share their thoughts in the comment section, and we could debate some more.

When told JPA has proven he can be an everyday Catcher, and d'Arnaud has not:
This is 100% the most valid argument that anybody can make on the JPA side. JP is an everyday catcher, but he isn't a "Division 1" catcher. He isn't Joe Mauer, Yadier Molina or Buster Posey, not that I'm saying Travis is, but d'Arnaud has a better chance to become one of those type of players because he can combine his power(which is basically the same as JP's) with the ability to get on base.

When told JPA is very good because he gets RBI's and deserves to be the starter because of that:
Call me when RBI's mean something and aren't dependant on your teammates and luck.

When told TDA should play 1st in 2013 and JPA should Catch:
Sal Fasano has said in the past that Travis d'Arnaud is one of the best defensive catchers he has seen. Travis is only 23, which means he has a ton of room, as does JP. But if you combine d'Arnaud's offense with his stellar defense, he has a chance to be an all-star for a long time in the AL.I'm not advocating a scenario where JP is on this team as well as TDA, but if somebody moves to 1st, it should be JP. Travis' defense is better obviously, and JP, as somebody who cares about winning, should be fine with the switch to 1st.

When told JP could play 1st, and d'Arnaud  could play catcher:
If no move is made in the off-season to acquire a 1B/DH, then I rather see Adam Lind play the position(DH) next season.  The reason for this being that the Jays need a pitcher, and JP can get you that, whereas Adam Lind cannot. Hopefully this doesn't need to be discussed anymore because AA brings in a player that plays 1B/DH...David Ortiz.


When told you can't get rid of JP because he cares too much about this team:
If a 3rd year player is upset about moving positions, and has a bad attitude about it, then I don't want him on my team. If he really cares about the team, he would do what's best for the team as a whole, which is having Travis d'Arnaud calling games and blocking balls behind the dish. The whole perception is that you can't move JP's position because he is older, and therefore deserves the respect of having a set position of defense. But if he really "cared" about this team like everybody says he does, he shouldn't have a problem with switching positions. So, he clearly doesn't "care" about this team so much that you can't trade him for a valuable piece.

Unlike his competition, Travis has more
 than 1 tool, 4 to be exact( Contact,Power,Arm,Glove).
When told JP did better in AAA, so expecting more from TDA is ludicrous:
Problem is, JP did not. Comparing JP's second year in Vegas and Travis' 1st year in AAA is like comparing apples and oranges. It is so much easier to succeed in the Minors when repeating a level(as shown by Asher Wojo.... this year before being traded), and that is why JPA had a "better" year than Travis at AAA. If you compare JP's 1st year and TDA's 1st year in AAA, it is ridiculous how much better d'Arnaud was. So, that argument is wrong. Oh, and by the way, Travis' 1st year at AAA, is better than JP's  2nd year according to wOBA and wRC+(JP .412/143 TDA .414/147).

When told trading JP would be regretted when d'Arnaud fails to meet expectations:
Travis d'Arnaud doesn't even need to have a wRC+ of 91(JPA's career #) next season to be worth more than JP. If his offense isn't what it is supposed to be, and it fails miserably, it can't be much worse than what JPA's is, and his defense, which won't change because of the league he is in, is still better than JP's.

I say package JP with some other pieces, and get a SP. That is what this team needs the most, and Travis d'Arnaud at his worst will likely produce overall more than JP does. Hand him the reins in April of 2013, and don't look back. They are both very nice guys, but when it comes down to winning, production is the only thing that matters.

Anyways, if you have any other points in favour of JPA that I did not answer, please leave them in the comment section below.

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Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Blue Jays Daily: August 21st 2012

This is basically an injury update because thats all the news we really get these days when you're a Blue Jays fan, but there is some stuff about prospects as well.

Morrow Penciled in for Saturday's Start
Brandon Morrow, who up until Felix Hernandez's perfect game last week led the league in complete game shutouts, will return to the mound for the Blue Jays this Saturday. Brandon will face the Orioles, who need to fade, because they aren't good. No decision on who will be sent down to make room for Morrow has been made, but you have to think its going to be Henderson Alvarez or Ricky Romero.

Bautista/Lind Play for the Dunedin Blue  Jays
Blue Jays All Star Jose Bautista and the man who is in the process of losing his job due to David Cooper's success , Adam Lind, are both playing for the Blue Jays High-A team tonight. They should be back with the big league club at the earliest by Friday. Jose should be leading off tonight, and Lind should be batting 2nd, but the game is currently being delayed because of rain. Hopefully they get the game in so our injured players can get some ABs.

Lawrie Shut Down...Possibly for Good
Brett Lawrie has been shut down from his rehab stint, and will need at least a week before he is allowed to rehab again in minor league games. Lawrie's ribcage is sore again, and that is the reason for this setback. Blue Jays Skipper John Farrell did not rule out shutting him down for the rest of the season so he will be ready for next year.
Yorvit Arrives
Recently signed Catcher Yorvit Torrealba is in Detroit and is ready to play if needed tonight. AA said last week that he and Jeff Mathis will split the catching duties if/when JP Arencibia comes back this season. Yorvit told reporters before the game that many teams offered him contracts, but because the Jays were able to promise him playing time, he chose to sign with them. Torrealba was 5-12 with 3 walks in 4 games played with the New Hampshire Fisher Cats(AA) while preparing to come up to Toronto.
Norris Heading to Vancouver
The crown jewel of AA's 2011 MLB Draft, Daniel Norris, has been called up to the Vancouver Canadians(SS A). Norris announced this via his twitter account today. Daniel had a 7.97 ERA in 35.0 IP in BlueField this season, which makes you wonder why exactly he has been called up. But, he is a top-100 prospect in the game for a reason. He has great stuff. I'm sure he will do just fine while playing for the Canadians. 

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Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Interview With Blue Jays Catcher Jeff Mathis

He isn't known for his offense, but his numbers
have been above his career averages this season.
He recently became the Blue Jays starting catcher. Yesterday he signed a 2 year $3 Million ($1.5 Million club option in 2015) extension with the club. Today, I bring you the transcript of an interview I conducted with none other than Jeff Mathis. Unfortunately it was done before the extension was finished and announced so, I did not talk to him about it.

A 29 year old catcher from Marianna, Florida, Jeff was drafted in the 1st round during the 2001 MLB Rule 4 Draft. He made it to the majors in 2005 with the Angels, the team that drafted him, and except for a couple of stints in the minors in 2006 and 2007, has been up here ever since. Last December AA traded for him by sending SP Brad Mills to the Halos. His offense has always been lacking for what it takes to be a starter, but this year he performed well offensively while he was a backup. Due to injuries to the two catchers ahead of him on the depth chart, JP Arencibia and Travis d’Arnaud, Jeff was handed the starting duties a couple of weeks ago. His offense has sputtered, going back to around his career numbers, but like always, his defense has been superb. He leads the league in CS% at 39%, and the way he calls games has had a very positive effect on the Blue Jays pitching staff.

Now, for that interview I did.


Mathis' stance last season with the Angels.
You can see his feet are close together.
It is quite evident that you have made some changes to your swing when comparing video from past years to this season. What have you done to it that has allowed you to access your power? (Jeff’s SLG% is up by .102 points over his career average).
“Knowing that I was going to get more limited opportunities, I have simplified things and gotten back to doing things that have brought me success in the past.”
Mathis' swing/stance this season.
His feet are farther apart, which
 allows him to drive the ball more.
Is it difficult going from playing once or twice a week to everyday like you have done since JP Arencibia has gone down due to injury? How have you changed your daily routine?
“I will always approach things with the mindset that I can play every day in this league and I mentally and physically prepare myself to do that. I have tried to maintain my workout regiment throughout the season and I feel ready to help the team while JP is out. It is really unfortunate that we have lost him, but I want to try to do what I can to help the team while I am in there.”


You are one of the best defensive catchers in the game. What do you think you do differently than others that allows you to have such great success behind the plate?
“I have always tried to separate what I did offensively and defensively. No matter what was happening offensively, I have always taken a lot of pride in how I called a game or helped a staff from the 1st out to the last out. I have been around a lot of very good catching coaches during my career and I have just tried to be a sponge to learn as much as I can from them. I know that I can affect a game behind the plate as much as I can at the plate.”
Mathis goes to the mound
to talk to Ricky.
Ricky Romero has clearly been struggling of late, and you have had your first few chances of catching him. Are you do anything different in your game calling than what JP Arencibia does to try to snap Ricky out of his skid, and if yes, what?
“Ricky is a hell of a major league pitcher and he is working on some things that he believes will help him be more consistent. None of us doubt that he will be successful in doing that. He is too good of a pitcher for that not to happen. That being said, we as players all go through bumps in the road and it is our job as professionals to figure out how to keep in on the path to success. Ricky will undoubtedly do that.”
Which pitcher on the Blue Jays do you have the best connection with when it comes to knowing how to call their game to perfection?
“I try to work with each individual pitcher differently so as to do things that he is comfortable with. It is my job to help each of our guys be successful and to allow them to get into a rhythm on the mound that benefits them. This is not about me. This is about them not worrying about me or how I am doing things behind the plate so they can concentrate on being successful and executing pitches, sequences and a game plan. If I am doing that, I am doing my job.”
Hope you guys enjoyed it. I want to thank Jeff for taking time out of his busy schedule to do this with me, and hope he continues to have success with the Jays.

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Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Jays Extend Their Starting Catcher

Mathis catching in Tropicana Field
 last week vs. the Rays.
That headline got you excited, didn't it? Too bad the Jays starting catcher right now is Jeff Mathis. The Blue Jays announced earlier this evening that they had signed Mathis to a 2-year $3 million contract with an Anthoption(Club Option) in 2015 for $1.5 million. This is still a pretty big move because it gives us a whole lot of possible options to think about for the catching jobs in 2013. Since Mathis' job is now set in stone, we can assume one of JP Arencibia or Travis d'Arnaud will be moved this off-season. Here are a few possible situations next year when it comes to the backstops.
1. JPA Traded, d'Arnaud Starting, Mathis Backup
This seems like the most likely case as it improves the team all around and if JPA is packaged with one of the Lansing 3 and some fillers, he could bring back a pretty good pitcher. AA has said outright that he is going to acquire a pitcher or two this off-season, so that statement gives this possibility more steam than the others. The big question is whether or not the Blue Jays #1 prospect will be ready for 2013 because he tore his PCL this season, and has been shut down. But the latest we have heard about d'Arnaud is that he will make up for lost time playing in the Arizona Fall League later this year, and should be ready for April 2013.

2. JPA Starting Catcher, d'Arnaud Starting DH, Mathis Backup C
You don't like this. I don't like this. Rogers loves this! AA has been brainwashed to love it. Instead of spending money on David Ortiz or another DH, Rogers could conveniently pay those 4 players less than $3 million for 2013, and still think they get good production. AA said during tonight's game that this case has potential for next season, but I don't see it. My first problem with it is that JPA brings back a pitcher if traded, and Ortiz would love to play in Toronto with his best friend Jose Bautista, and another close friend, Edwin Encarnacion. My second problem is that if you do have these 3 catchers, why not have d'Arnaud,the better defender, play catcher, and JPA DH. You are getting the same offense, but improving the defense. Just makes more sense in my mind. What do you guys think?

3. JPA Starting, Mathis Backup, Travis d'Arnaud starting in AAA
Please no.

4.d'Arnaud Traded, JPA Starting, Mathis Backup
If it brings back Stephen Strasburg,Clayton Kershaw, or Felix Hernandez(Or other players of that caliber), then I'm fine with it. Otherwise, NO!(Mike Trout as well)

Well that basically sums them all up. If I missed any, I'm distracted by watching the Jays game right now, so it isn't my fault.

Which situation do you prefer? Leave a comment in the section below and we could discuss, I really want to know what others think about this.

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Source: Blue Jays to Sign Yorvit Torrealba

Torrealba,right, was suspended 66 games in the
 Venezuelan League last year after hitting the umpire,left.
A report by Drew Davidson, a writer for Fort Worth Star-Telegram, says backup catcher Yorvit Torrealba is close to joining the Toronto Blue Jays. If this is indeed true, which it likely is, Torrealba will assume the backup catcher duties, with Yan Gomes becoming the back up 3rd baseman, taking over for Omar Vizquel. Vizquel,45, has had to go out of his role as Assistant Bench Coach since Brett Lawrie got injured to play a game every 4th day or so.The 34 year old we will call Yorvit has an OBP of .302, and is pretty bad defensively.

So if your counting players on the disabled list, the Blue Jays now have 4 back up catchers. JP Arencibia,Jeff Mathis, Yorvit Torrealba, and Yan Gomes. Travis d'Arnaud couldn't come soon enough...Right?

Update: The Blue Jays just announced that they signed Torrealba to a minor league contract, and he will report to AA New Hampshire, where he will play 4 games before coming up next week in Detroit.

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Friday, August 10, 2012

Medic! Youth, Energy, & Potential Will Have to Carry the Blue Jays

WARNING: This is an opinion piece created by an observant fan

The heart of the 2012 Toronto Blue Jays has been grit, tenacity and bringing a youthful energy to the diamond every game. This philosophy is being accentuated with the arrival of farm system DL assistance, in the form of: top prospects, pitching help, and support from important bench players. It is safe to say that the disaster of the 2012 season, is working positively toward 2013; and the Blue Jays fanbase should be excited to watch these kids grow up together.

                                                                                    Anthony Gose:
As crazy as it sounds, Gose now appears and holds himself among the great crop of new Blue Jays as the experienced rookie. Gose has learned A LOT in his first three weeks of major league experience. Gose is an obvious example of a defensive stud that just needs to take his licks at the plate and make the appropriate adjustments; all expected of a 21-year old professional athlete. With GM Alex Anthopoulos commenting on how impressed he has been with the quality of Gose’s at-bats and his determination to get better; I have to agree to a certain extent. The speed of Anthony is without question, and with a steady upgrade of his bunt ability Gose will carve a niche for himself until his swing is ready to contend with big-league pitching more consistenly. At a very young 21 years, Gose finds himself with a swing percentage of pitches outside the zone of 32%, just three points above the league average – this is encouraging considering his widely held weakness is a high K-rate. I believe in the potential of his athleticism, patience, determination, and the progress Gose will make under the Blue Jays developmental program.

Moises Sierra:
The most obvious point to be made about Sierra is his schoolyard mentality, one that is going to earn him a few choice words from every manager and coach that he plays under at the major league level. Players that bring grit, swagger, and aggressiveness to the diamond everyday should never have to apologize. Without any doubt, players like Lawrie or Sierra will have to temper that aggression into beneficial team production. Sierra is far from the prototypical stellar OF prospect, yet he possesses raw power, a monstrous throwing arm from RF, and a knack for making things happen on the basepaths. Moises has hit the ball fairly well thus far with the Blue Jays but it will be his baseball knowledge and critical decision-making that will decide his fate. Being the obvious odd man out in the Blue Jays OF, Sierra is doing a service for the Blue Jays displaying his skills to the viewing pleasure of the rest of the MLB.

 
Adeiny Hechavarria:
At the ripe age of 23, Adeiny has been heralded by many baseball minds as the next elite Blue Jays middle infielder and his fantastic ability to make great plays in the field is evidence of that. A young Cuban prospect, Hech has nothing left to prove with his slick fielding glove, soft hands and strong accurate throwing arm. He has found no problems anchoring the infield defence from his shortstop position at any level of competition. Outside of his inflated 2012 numbers in AAA, Hech has showed a dramatic ability to adapt, be patient, and make good plate appearances each time out. With the bat speed and maturity that Hech has shown in a handful of major league games on top of his stellar rise through the minors, the Blue Jays have a valuable SS and every other MLB team knows it as well.

Yan Gomes:
In my opinion Yan Gomes deserves a lot of kudos for the roller coaster ride of position and affiliation changes he has endured. Gomes has been called upon to play first base, third base, catch, and even play some left field. For a team decimated by unlucky injuries, the Blue Jays have needed players with the versatility and laissez-faire attitude of Yan Gomes. The defence of Gomes behind the dish was less than great for a player with a primary position of catcher, but I think Yan has proven to be a satisfactory first base glove. I believe that the versatility, power, and age of Gomes give him a moderate value especially for NL teams looking for those kinds of bench players. The best way for Gomes to prove his worth, while with the Blue Jays, is to do a better job driving the ball when he does get a pitch to hit; he has struggled chasing pitches recently.

                                                                                    David Cooper:
Cooper is the “Rudy” of the 2012 Toronto Blue Jays. There are easy reasons to like and dislike David Cooper as the replacement 1B or DH for the Toronto Blue Jays while Adam Lind continues to have back issues (as a result of poor physical conditioning). Cooper has a particular set of honed skills as a result of being the steadfast 1B in AAA Las Vegas for the past 3 seasons. The plus ability for David Cooper is his short and clean swing that is packaged with a very good batting eye. Cooper does not chase many bad pitches and has driven the ball with authority when gets the barrel of the bat out on the ball. I believe that Cooper needs to improve his running ability and his lower back flexibility if he is ever going to be considered a major league defender. The value of players like Cooper is that he can make the most of his at-bats with the Blue Jays and help become a valuable trade piece because he has MLB experience and moderate results. The value of David Cooper may be measured most appropriately when and if he becomes a trade piece for the type of core player Anthopoulos is looking to add. 

Please feel free to comment below and as always your various opinions are welcome.

Follow me on Twitter: @ntopolie13 

-Nick Topolie

Wednesday, August 8, 2012

The Assassination of Johnny Giavotella by the Coward Dayton Moore

The Assassination of Johnny Giavotella by the Coward Dayton Moore

(Or another buy low candidate for Alex Anthopolous)


            Heading into the off-season, there are 3 obvious holes that the Blue Jays will need to address before the season starts next April.  One is in the rotation, another is in Left Field, assuming Anthony Gose doesn’t prove he can stick, and the last is at the keystone, where Kelly Johnson’s horrendous 2nd half slump means he certainly won’t be back next season.  If you look at the free agent crop this off-season its especially poor, where the top two names available will likely be Freddy Sanchez of the Giants, and Johnson himself.  Neither of those excite me in the least, so in order to address that position Anthopolous will need to get creative.

            Throughout his tenure as the Jays general manager Alex Anthopolous has routinely targeted players who have talent, but for one reason or another have fallen out of favour with their current club.  He did this with Yunel Escobar from the Braves, again with Brett Lawrie in the Shaun Marcum trade, and most recently with Colby Rasmus after he’d fallen out with Tony LaRussa. 

Another player who fits that bill perfectly is Royals 2nd base prospect Johnny Giavotella.  After being a 2nd round pick in 2008, Giavotella exploded in 2010 in AA Northwest Arkansas, finishing 6th in batting average with a .322 average, to go with a terrific OBP (.395), and Slugging % (.460).  He followed that breakout season, by posting even better numbers the next year at AAA in Omaha (.338/.390/.481), even earning a promotion to the majors in August.  However, like many young players getting his first taste of the big time, he disappointed despite getting regular at bats over the last two months of the season hitting just .247/.273/.376.  This was evidently enough for the Royals to completely sour on him as a player, despite the fact they’d invested a high draft pick in him.

Even though they had Giavotella seemingly ready to step into the lineup, and a perfectly acceptable fallback option in Chris Getz, in one of the strangest moves of the off-season the Royals decided to block Gio’s progress by bringing back Yuniesky Betancourt.  Betancourt had spent the better part of two seasons as the Royals starting shortstop, and had been massively disappointing, managing to combine atrocious defense, with one of the worst OBP’s in the league both years. 

After getting to the Brewers to take his poor contract in the Zack Greinke trade, the Royals brought him back seemingly as the utility infielder, and gave the starting 2nd base job to the decidedly average Getz out of spring training.  The reason they gave was that Giavotella’s defense needed more seasoning at AAA before they were ready to commit to him.  With the Royals seemingly making a push to win this season, these decisions make some sense, as going with the 28 year old Getz was presumably safer than risking the unproven Giavotella. 

They did give Giavotella a brief shot in May when Yuni hit the DL, but despite hitting the ball very well (31% Line Drive rate), hit into a lot of bad luck, and when Betancourt returned he was sent back down.  At this point in the season, the Royals had already gone through a 12 game losing streak, and had already lost starters Danny Duffy & Felipe Paulino to Tommy John surgery.  All pretences of winning this season had gone out the window, but they continued to let Giavotella rake down in the minors, where he’d already proven he could defeat.  Keep in mind, that the reason they had given Getz the job out of spring training was reportedly because of his defensive acumen, but now not 2 months later, they were turning to Yuni and his atrocious glove.

It really dawned on me how much the Royals had soured on Giavotella until this week, when they finally cut ties with Yuniesky Betancourt.  It should be noted that this team is so poor at evaluating talent, that it wasn’t Betancourt’s poor defense that led to him being cut, nor was it his .256 OBP that got him cut.   Rather it was his poor attitude, lack of willingness to accept a reduced role.  Anyway, with Yuni’s spot on the roster coming open, that seemed to give them another great opportunity to give Giovatella an extended look to close out the year.  Again they are turning to Getz, and because they need a backup shortstop (despite Alcides Escobar playing all but 2 games at short this year), they called up 27 year old Tony Abreu.

            At this point, the Royals have screamed from the rooftops, that we don’t want Giavotella, and have effectively killed any real trade value he has.  Despite hitting .335/.401/.488 in almost 900 AAA plate appearances, this year alone they’ve chosen to give playing time to Yuniesky Betancourt, Chris Getz, Irving Falu, and now Tony Abreu instead a promising 24 year old former 2nd round pick.  This has all the makings of someone that Anthopolous could swoop in and get on the cheap. 

            This isn’t to say that Giavotella is a perfect player.  He does have defensive deficiencies, and has disappointed in his very brief major league stints.  Despite all that, Giavotella still has the type of bat that inspires alot of faith, especially given how weak the alternatives at 2nd base are this off-season.  I’m not sure if the Royals and Blue Jays could work out a deal, especially given that both teams most pressing need is in the starting staff, but if something could be worked out, and I think it could, then he could be just the low cost alternative that could plug the 2nd base hole next year, and for years to come.