Showing posts with label MLB Draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MLB Draft. Show all posts

Monday, June 24, 2013

Tim Penprase Interview Transcript

Ewan and Chris talked with Phil Bickfor's high school coach for the podcast this week, and Ewan was ever so kind to make transcript it for us to read. You can listen to the show here.


Ewan – And welcome back to the bluejays plus podcast.  Joining us now is the coach of Oak Christian High School in California, Tim Penprase.  How’s it going Tim?

Tim – Doing well guys, thanks for having me.

Ewan – While most bluejays fans wont be familiar or interested in California high school baseball, Tim is the coach of first round pick Phil Bickford, so very interesting to Blue Jays fans.  Why don’t you start off by letting us know background information, how is Phil as a kid?

Tim – You know, he’s a great kid.  He comes from a great family.  He’s got a good background.  He’s one of the favourite guys in clubhouse, great teammate, but when he walks out on the field he’s a bulldog.  He’s a team first guy, loves playing baseball, loves going to the beach, hanging with his friends, and he’s just a happy go lucky good kid.

Ewan – What we want to hear.  Quality Character.

Chris – First thing I noticed about him, in the short video I watched was that he seemed a bit rushed.  I had no idea what inning it was, cause these are 3 minute videos.  So I was just wondering if there were any issues with his stamina.

Tim – No, never any issues with his stamina.  He was usually actually stronger in the late innings.  In those videos he probably looked a little rushed, cause there are times he didn’t really get to his balance point.  He likes to work quick, be quick to the plate, and sometimes he would rush his balance point, and he would get away with it sometimes.  That’s probably what you were seeing.  Never any problems with stamina, he always threw a lot of pitches in his outings.  I know in the championship game for us for us this year, he was throwing 96 in the 7th inning.  Never any problems there.

Ewan – You mention the championship game.  How was your season with him this year?

Tim – Unbelievable.  Absolutely unbelieveable.  Every start he had hegot stronger, and the championship game was definitely his best outing of the year.  Like I said he’s a bulldog.  He loves those high pressure games, loves being in high pressure situations.  In that championship game, he was sitting 96, and struck out 18 of the 21 outs.  I think he threw 11 balls in the entire game, so he was pretty impressive this year.

Ewan – That’s so unfair.  Guys like this against high school kids.  When you say championship game, what level are you guys at in California?

Tim – We are CIF Southern section division 4.

Ewan – One of the major criticisms of him by the scouting community was that his breaking ball lacked some sharpness, and said that needed development.  What has been the progress on that throughout his career?

Tim – It gets better.  He drops his arm a lot on that breaking pitch.  When he keeps his arm up, he’s got a lot more movement, a lot better break on it.  I think that’s one thing they’re going to find some consistency with.  When he finds that I think it’ll be a lot better.  He has a changeup, but he never really throws it.  When you’re sitting that fast, especially in high school doesn’t make a lot of sense to slow the ball down to a lot of hitters.  If you’re slowing it down, you stick with the slider and let it move a bit.  I think if he makes some adjustments, he finds that consistency and keeps that arm up on the offspeed I think it’ll be better.  He locates it well now, so I think it’ll improve. 

Chris – We were also just wondering if he’s suffered some adversity on or off the field, and how did he handle himself?

Tim – Sure, he’s suffered adversity both places.  Off the field, on the field.  He’s been with us for four years on varsity, so he’s definitely had some failures earlier in his career with us.  And he deals with it well.  He fails and he learns from it, and is determined not to make that mistake again.  And I think that’s why he’s developed so well in his high school career.  He has really good perspective for his age, so any adversity he’ll learn from it, and power through it, and he’ll be better off for it. 

Ewan – I’m just curious about the development curve of someone this talented.  What is his fastball touching and sitting?

Tim – He’ll sit, depending on the day, 93 and 95.  He’s touched 97.

Ewan – When did that occur?  I’m curious was that the case when he was a junior, or is this a recent thing?

Tim – You know, he was sitting probably 91 at the end of last year, and he was throwing all the time.  He really took some time, and took like 3 months off to let his arm rest, and focused on strengthening his core, and strengthening his legs because he hadn’t really focused on doing that kind of work.  So he took some time strengthened those areas, and let his arm rest for a couple months.  When he came back he started throwing harder, kept doing his long toss routine, and kept strengthening everything.  The velocity kept increasing.

Ewan – He is a long tosser?  We’ve seen a lot of that with the Trevor Bauers and the like coming up.

Tim – Yeah he is.  He loves his long toss routine, and it seems to have helped him.

Ewan – In a similar vein, Phil rose very quickly from being perceived as being a fringe first rounder a couple months before the draft to being the #10 overall pick he eventually was.  What changed late in the season that would’ve impacted a scout’s opinion like that?

Tim – I cant speak directly for it, but I think the velocity definitely had a big part to do with it.  When you’re throwing that hard, from that arm slot, and when you’re locating that well with it.  I think he only had 11 walks on the year as opposed to 140 something strikeouts.  When you’re throwing that hard, and locating that well, I think that’s what brought him up.

Chris – Given his draft position, we assume that Phil’s the most talented player you’ve ever coached, but have you ever had anyone else you’ve coached make it to the show?

Tim – Nobody in the show, but I have Trevor Gretzky.  Probably recognize the name.  He got drafted by the Cubs a two years ago.  And we’ve got probably 9 or 10 guys after this season who’ll be into division 1 ball.  So we’ve got a handful of guys who can play.

Chris – We know the Gretzky name pretty well up here in Canada.

Tim – Absolutely.  Definitely recognizable name.  We had the pleasure of having Trevor around.  Playing with the Cubs organization now, and they’re a great family as well. 

Chris – Did you notice your guys acting any different, since I’d imagine there’s a lot of hype around with Gretzky’s kid around?

Tim – There is hype, but you know in that situation he’s just another teammate, and they’re parents.  So, even though there’s a lot of hype, there’s a lot more hype with opposing teams.  But it’s a normal situation.  Trevor’s a great kid, and Wayne’s a great guy, and you try to keep it at that.

Chris – I imagine there’s a lot of hype in high school ball in America, you have to coach up your guys how to deal with scouts at the game.

Tim – Absolutely, I think that’s part of learning how to growing up, learning to deal with some of that stuff.  You definitely try to guide them along a little bit, there’s still teenage boys, but I think that’s part of our job.

Ewan – As blue jays fans we’ve had to deal with a lot of injury issues with our pitchers in the past few years.  Has Phil had any problems like that coming up?

Tim – He’s never had any issues like that.  He’s always taking good care of himself.  He’s got a really loose arm, he’s really the typical power pitcher that puts a lot of strain on his arm.  He’s really smooth through his mechanics, and he can throw a lot of pitches, and come out and throw long toss the next day and not be effected.  He uses his body well, and he’s never been injured.

Ewan – Finally, as Jays fans we also had to deal with our high school pick two years ago Tyler Beede not signing, so we’re had some concerns taking another high school pitcher.  I don’t know how much you can speak to this, but if you had to say, what do you think the odds on him signing?

Tim – I cant speak directly to it, but I think when you’re in that situation as a 17 year old kid, I think its hard to definitely not to look at the opportunities in front of you, especially being with a good organization.  I think he’s definitely open if the right offer is there I think he’s definitely open to signing.  He’s gonna see what’s come his way, and make a decision.  I don’t think he’s stuck one way or the other, I think he’s gonna see what’s put in front of him and make a decision.

Ewan – Where is he committed college wise?

Tim – Cal State – Fullerton.

Ewan – I think that’s all we have for you, Tim.  Thanks for being so generous with your time.

Tim – I appreciate it.

Monday, June 10, 2013

BlueJaysPlus Podcast Episode 12: Post Draft Things, Mechanics, BioGenesis

I sat this week out, so Ewan and Chris did the show. They interviewed Jason Wojciechowski to talk about the BioGenesis steroid scandal, specifically Melky Cabrera. Chris also weighs in with some fantastic mechanics talk about the draft, amongst other things. Oh,and there were lots of roster moves this week...in case you forgot that that happens every week with this ball club. Enjoy!






Stream


Download:Click Here

RSS: Click Here

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Live MLB Draft Blog!

The 2013 MLB Rule 4 draft is set to get underway in about 40 minutes, and we'll be live blogging the whole thing(OK, not the whole thing, mainly the Jays parts) for you tonight! This is our first foray into live blogging, so bear with us. We'll analyze the picks leading up to the Jays and how it effects the Blue Jays pick at #10, and then, after the Jays pick, we'll talk about that for a while, I guess.

We have a great team live blogging tonight, as Ewan, Marshall, Isaac, and myself(Gideon) will be manning this post. I'll try to embed any important tweets as well with updates on the draft.

Thanks for joining us, and keep on coming back and refreshing as new content will be coming rapidly(or at least I hope). We welcome your comments on this post as a great way to interact with us!

6:32 PM-Gideon
With half an hour left, I figured I'd get this started. Right now, it seems as if the Astros will be taking either Kohl Stewart or Colin Moran with the #1 pick. This info comes from a tweet by David Rawnsley of PerfectGameUSA(affiliated with BaseballProspectus).
The general consensus was that the Astros would take either RHP Mark Appel or RHP Jonathan Gray with that pick, but now it seems as if they might use last year's strategy again, when they chose to skip Appel for Carlos Correa, and then be able to sign guys for over slot later. If they were to do that this year, they'd probably be looking at Sean Manea with their pick at #40.

Whoever the Astros take, it won't effect the Jays much. What will effect the Jays is what happens with pick 8-9, owned by the Royals and the Pirates respectively. This should be fun, so buckle up and enjoy the ride!

6:37-Gideon
Some non draft news. I just saw a tweet from @ShiDavidi of Sportsnet saying the Jays will purchase Andy Laroche's contract tomorrow to replace the sent down Anthony Gose. I think that was pretty expected, so not so newsworthy.

6:44-Gideon

Just a reminder, if you haven't already checked them out, Marshall and Ewan put up some great draft pieces these past couple of days. Marshall's piece can be found by clicking here, and Ewan's by click here. I'm sure they want your feedback, so leave a comment or two.

6:53-Gideon

We're less than 10 minutes away now, and I thought I'd write who I'd like the Jays to select.

LHP Trey Ball has good mechanics and a very ceiling of a #2 starter. For more about him, read the articles I linked to above. The good mechanics are key for me, as they are something other pitchers in this draft with similar ceilings don't have, and with the Jays recent injury history, I think mechanics should be a focus when acquiring players.


7:00-Gideon

So we're already to go. Don't expect the first pick to be announced for 10-15 minutes. This is going to be a long night. So, the king of twitter, Fernando Tatis, keeps us entertained with some comedy!




7:01-Gideon

The others will be joining in soon. But, it seems as if we know who the 1st pick will be. Keith Law informs us in the following tweet!




7:10-Gideon

So with Appel likely going to the Astros, I assume it will be Gray to the Cubs and then Bryant to the Rockies. Stewart probably goes to the Twins, and from there, things could change. Should be exciting. Stick with us!

7:12-Gideon

It's Appel.
The Houston Astros select RHP Mark Appel out of Stanford. Cubs on the clock. Seems as it will be Gray. We shall see.

7:15-Gideon

Jim Bowden is hearing Cubs will go Gray. The tweet:


7:17-Gideon
Kris Byrant to the Cubs according to John Manuel of BA.Oh, and now confirmed by Bud Selig.
Interesting. He's powerful. He went to the University of San Diego and plays third base. Will be interesting to see if the Rockies go with Gray or take a bat.

7:20-Ewan
The Astros grab the pitcher they passed on last year, in Stanford right hander Mark Appel.  This shows that money wasn't a concern, because you'd suspect that Jonathan Gray would've signed for slightly less money.
The real lesson in this pick is Scott Boras always wins.  Gambled by letting Appel go back into the draft, and he's the big winner.
Harold Reynolds thinks that Appel could be in Houston by July.  His first comment of the night that is totally out to lunch.  Not saying that Appel doesn't have the MLB ready talent, right now, but there is zero chance a hopeless team burns through service time in order to add a win to a 65 win team. 

7:21-Isaac
The Astros did the right thing by picking Mark Appel #1 overall. There was a ton of speculation about various players, many people had them taking Gray, Moran, or Stewart. But then again, there is speculation every single year. I think the Astros knew Appel was the guy from the beginning, being the most polished, most advanced, player on the board. Another step forward for the Astros rebuild. They are doing it right.

7:24-Gideon
Rockies select RHP Jonathan Gray. I'm surprised. A bit. Doesn't really effect the Jays. Top 3 off the board after 3 picks. Makes sense.

7:25-Ewan


The Cubs surprise people to a certain degree, by passing on Jonathan Gray, to take what the rarest thing in the game these days is, which is right handed power.  3rd baseman Kris Bryant has as much power as any pick in recent memory. 
With seemingly 3rd base long term plugged by Javier Baez, and 1st base with Anthony Rizzo, I'd expect that Bryant could be ticketed for right field. 
Harold Reynolds tells us that he's seen Bryant pick it at 3rd, and he can stay there.  I question how many times he's been out to San Diego to scout Bryant's D.

7:27-Gideon
So the Twins, as expected, will pick Stewart. The tweet:


7:28-Ewan


With Bryant off the board, the Rockies don't get cute and force a hitter in this slot.  They take Jonathan Gray, and wind up with who I thought was the best talent in the draft. 
I always thought the Rockies should've been focused on pitching to begin with, so this works just as well. 
Lack of Harold Reynolds lunacy after this pick, but I'd expect its only because they cut to commercial.
Despite the 3 picks not being in order, the top 3 are the 3 players we expected.

7:30-Gideon
Jeff Passan of Yahoo say Indians are in on Frazier. We'll see if they pick him


7:33-Ewan
The first no brainer of the night.  The Twins have one of the most stacked farm systems in the entire league, however it is still lacking pitching.  The ability to pair a stud arm like Kohl Stewart, along side their stud position players like Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano.  Together those are the trio who could lead the twinkies back to prominence. 
Mark Appel calls in, and credits God for showing him the path to go.  Pretty lofty nickname he's given to Scott Boras.

7:34-Gideon
Indians go ginger and select Frazier. #6 will likely be Shipley, per Passan.



Oh, and Frazier sings Taylor Swift, so the Jays missed big time.

7:37-Marshall
First pick of the draft(Frazier) that could have a trickle down effect, as mentioned by Ewan in his article. We'll see how it effects the Jays.

7:40-Ewan


First real shock of the night occurs at #5 as the Indians take Clint Frazier over Colin Moran, and not only blow up draft boards, but also crush my heart.  I was still holding out hope that Frazier's unconventional body and player type would fall to the Jays at 10. 
Now the question becomes where does Colin Moran fall.  He doesn't strike me as a Red Sox type pick.  Big wildcard introduced.
Harold Reynolds comps Frazier to Mike Trout, which seems really lazy.  I also learned that Frazier has grown 2 inches in the past couple weeks, and is now 6'1.

7:42-Gideon
Marlins select Moran. WOW. What a Moranic pick. Sorry, just wanted to make that pun. I lime it. Makes the picture cloudy now for the Jays. Let's what happens!

7:48-Ewan

Since Colin Moran fell into their laps, they pass on Braden Shipley to take the polished MLB ready third baseman.
I'm hoping that this means that Shipley falls into the Royals lap, since I expect they are looking for a college pitcher.  This could lead to Trey Ball falling to the Jays.  Ball is at the top of my board right now.
Luhnow in his interview basically tells Reynolds he's a moron for thinking Appel will get there by July.
Also, I appreciate whoever the host is, for throwing a jab at the Royals (and ex-hitting coach Jack Maloof) by saying they are looking to "hit a home run"

7:50-Gideon
Red Sox take Ball. I shall go cry. Meadows now top of my list.

7:53-Marshall
Hoping Shipley falls to the Jays now, him and Stanek intrigue. Along with Meadows, of course.

7:54-Ewan
Red Sox snag Trey Ball, who another of the guys I really wanted.  I'll be very disappointed if the Royals snag Meadows next, which there has been some buzz on them taking.  That would be my nightmare scenario, which could lead to someone like a JP Crawford going to the Jays.
Let's hope the Royals are looking for pitching and take one of Bickford, Meadows, or Stanek.

7:55-Gideon
Royals take Hunter Dozier. Very big surprise. Pirates now going to choose between Meadows and McGuire. Jays likely to get the one who they don't take.

8:01-Gideon
Pirates select Meadows, so now McGuire and Shipley are available. Let's hope for Shipley. 

8:01-Ewan

I just pity Royals fans.  Hunter Dozier wasn't ranked in the top 30 by anyone. 
Jesus Christ.  Reynolds loves the pick.  Compares him to Troy Tulowitzki, and says he's a lock to stay at short.  Jonathan Mayo immediately says Reynolds doesn't know anything, and he's not a shortstop.
This pick is atrocious, and is Dayton Moore's final insult to Royals fans on his way out the door. 
I don't care how little money Dozier takes, even of it gets them Bickford or Manaea.
Now that Harold Reynolds realizes its a crappy pick he's questioning it.

8:05-Gideon
I don't like this pick. I'll explain soon. No more live blogging picks. We'll be giving our thoughts on this pick, and then be back at it when the Jays draft in the 2nd round.

I'll be back with the live blog when the second round comes on. I'm writing a separate post on Bickford.

11:00-Gideon
Aaaaaaaaand I'm back! The Jays have their 2nd round pick at #47, which should be in a few minutes. Let's see what happens.

11:05-Gideon
No idea who Clinton Hollon is. 


Well that sounds good, I think. I'll look for scouting reports and post them on here. Stay tuned. 

11:15-Gideon
So Hollon throws with a 3/4 arm slot, and his mechanics are messy and, as Rode says above, he has an effort delivery. Once again, the Jays go to a guy with a high risk of injury. But, I won't rant again, I'll focus on the good. He was going to be a mid 1st round pick this draft before getting hurt, so their is some potential here. He sits 91-94 and touches 97 according to the scouting report I found, and apparently has good control. He also throws a high 70's curve and his change up features good arm speed. The money line from this scouting report though is the following. "Potential for 4 above average offerings". Very nice. If he stays healthy, this could be a nice little snag for AA and the crew.

Jays Select Phil Bickford: Mechanics Continue to Mean Nothing

You'd think after years of having seasons thrown away because of pitcher injuries the Jays Front Office would get a clue and stop acquiring pitchers with bad mechanics that lead to injuries. But, that clearly isn't the case as with the 10th overall pick in tonight's draft, the Blue Jays picked high school RHP Phil Bickford from California.  I'm getting tired of the Jays being stupid.

Bickford has the 2nd best high school in the draft according to BA, reaching 97 MPH and sitting between 92 and 94 MPH. This might be good, but a flamethrower with bad mechanics leads to injuries 99.9% of the time.

He also lacks a good breaking pitch. His slider can be a wipeout pitch some times, but most of the time it will just hang up there and get hit. Phil also throws a change up which is nothing to write home about, so yeah, very exciting player!

The best worst part about Bickford though has to be his mechanics. He throws with a 3/4 arm slot as shown in this video below, and is just an injury waiting to happen. His high ceiling is very nice, but it's hard to reach a ceiling without an arm. Given the odds that his arm falls off(not literally obviously), his ceiling seems untouchable.


But wait, there's more. He's also a tough sign. So, if he doesn't sign, the Jays get the 11th pick next year, in what is considered as an even weaker draft than this one!!! Hurray!!! This was such a smart move.

The Blue Jays have one starter in the big leagues with good mechanics(Buehrle), and he is vastly overpaid, and might be leaving town soon. In the minors, their best prospects, Aaron Sanchez and Roberto Osuna, both have horrid mechanics. Now throw in Bickford, and the Jays have really created a recipe for success faille here. There is an old saying that goes "Pitchers win Championships". It means healthy pitchers, not the Josh Johnson and Phil Bickford's of the world!

Want to know why you should hate this pick? Law had him at 55 on his rankings.

How does one spin this is a good pick? Fail to mention the bad, obviously. Take it away, Brian Parker.

I'll leave with this. The Jays need a philosophy change. If it requires a new GM, then that's the cost that will need to be paid. But, AA can't keep on getting these guys that are destined to be hurt, and then blame everything on bad luck. It might be time to #FireAA(not mid-season, off-season).

You can follow me on twitter, @gideonturk. To connect with the site, Follow us on Twitter, and Like us on Facebook.

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

What To Expect From The Blue Jays Heading Into Draft Day


By: Marshall Henson

The MLB Rule 4 Draft is this Thursday, and in the first round, the Blue Jays will be picking 10th overall. This is their highest pick since JPR passed up on Troy Tulowitzki to select the great Ricky Romero. I will be previewing the top prospects in this draft that the Jays have either been linked to, or look to be drafted around the are where the Jays are picking.

I feel it’s safe to assume that certain players are bound to go ahead of the Blue Jays' tenth pick in this year’s rule four amateur draft, but after those five players anything could happen. The players I believe will be picked of the Jays are: Jonathan Grey, Mark Appel, Kris Bryant, Kohl Stewart, and Colin Moran.

Here are the players, after those five, that could end up being selected by the Jays. They’re in order of who I would want the Jays to take once their pick arrives. The list is derived from videos I’ve watched, along with scouting reports I’ve read. I don’t own a pitcher or batter bias, rather, I prefer the best player available, with the most projectability and the least risk, in my opinion. I am not a professional scout, I have just watched some video and read a lot about each of these players. Keep in mind that when the Jays have gone with position players in the top few rounds under the AA regime, they seem to go with toolsy players who don't necessarily need to stick in the outfield, so Frazier and Meadows are likely being targeted at this point. 

1-CLINT FRAZIER – OF – 6’1 – 190 LBS -- 18 YEARS OLD
Frazier’s unique combination of speed and power put him near the top of most draft broads, and if the Jays are lucky enough to have him fall onto their laps, they cannot pass on him, in my opinion. He’s outstandingly athletic with room for growth, and again, the power and speed are quite evident. He could have a 70 power bat in the future, and 50 hit tool. He plays the game all-out, which can have its pros and cons obviously, evident in the constant drama that surrounds Brett Lawrie. 

2-BRADEN SHIPLEY – RHP – 6’3 – 190 LBS -- 21 YEARS OLD
This solid college righty has really raised his draft stock, especially when considering he wasn’t drafted out of high school, at all. Shipley throws 3 solid pitches that all project as possibly above average offerings, with a fastball that sits in the mid-90s, and has been seen up to 98mph. His change up is considered by many as his best pitch, and he throws it in the mid 80's and it's very hard to pick up out of his hand. His curveball is pretty non-existent right now, defintitley not a plus pitch yet, but it does have some movement and he throws it in the high 70's. He projects as a #2 out of college.

3-AUSTIN MEADOWS – OF – 6’3 – 200 LBS -- 18 YEARS OLD
Meadows and Frazier are practically tied on many boards a product of their similar skill sets and same home state, but Frazier’s raw power intrigues me more than Meadows even 5 tools. Meadows is, like Frazier, a projectable high school outfielder with crazy bat potential, but with less power and more speed. I would be thrilled with Meadows if he ends up with the Jays, because he’s a very projectable corner-outfielder with 5 tools. 

4-RYNE STANEK – RHP – 6’4 – 190 LBS -- 22 YEARS OLD
This near-23 year old has fallen on some draft boards, and is truly a wildcard, meaning he could go anywhere in the first half of the draft. Stanek’s a projectable right hander with a mid-90s fastball that’s been seen up to 97. The slider is lethal at times, but is seen as inconsistent. Also shows a curve and change, both in progress, but could turn into solid offerings. The fear that his all-out effort delivery could force him into the bullpen could let him slip down in the draft, right onto the Jays’ lap if they wish to select him.

5-TREY BALL – LHP/OF – 6’6 – 180 LBS -- 18 YEARS OLD
Will Ball be headed to the Jays tomorrow? 

Ball has been continuously linked with the Jays according to Keith Law of ESPN and others. He seems like the most likely pick at 10. He has played two positions effectively, but I believe most prefer him, and his 6’6 frame, as a starting pitcher. As a lefty in the mid-low-90s with the fastball that can touch 96 out of high school, with a tight breaking curve (with a lack of experience with the pitch), there is much to love. Ball projects as a #2 starter (maybe even better), with the OF as a backup plan, if he was to need it. His mechanics are said to be very smooth and repeatable, something the Jays sure could use in their system.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Line represents where, if I was drafting the Jays’ pick would be located. Meaning one of the other four would be mildly disappointing, unless the pick is paid under slot value, giving the Jays more money to buy high on a second rounder. 

6-PHIL BICKFORD – RHP – 6’4 – 185 LBS -- 17 YEARS OLD
Bickford, like Stanek is a wild card. I, unfortunately, don’t know as much as I’d like to about Bickford. From the videos and reports I’ve seen, the fastball hits 97 and the slider has large break with big swing and miss potential. He throws from an unorthodox ¾ arm slot that makes his slider that much better, but also very inconsistent. He has top of the rotation potential, but has a long way to go, especially with the interesting mechanics possessed by the young right hander.

7-REESE MCGUIRE – C – 6’1 – 190 LBS -- 18 YEARS OLD
McGuire is a defense-first catcher, with room to grow at the plate. Some say he could catch in the big leagues at this moment—if it didn’t mean he had to hit. His elite defense is highly touted, and it only takes one team to believe in a decent bat to grab him early on, including the Jays. The track record of HS prep catchers is not good, to say the least, so risk is a huge factor here.

8-DOMINIC SMITH – 1B – 6’ – 195 LBS -- 18 YEARS OLD
Smith is a gold glove caliber 1B (ok), with bat potential to follow (obviously). Smith has been linked to the Jays, but I personally don’t see how they pass on at least three of the players ahead of him on this list. I also doubt the Jays could sign a high-school student with college commitments for under slot value, despite the possible overdraft. 

9-JP CRAWFORD – SS – 6’2 – 180 LBS -- 18 YEARS OLD
JP is the cousin of Dodgers
 All Star Carl Crawford, so
talent runs in his family.

Personally, I DO NOT want the Jays to select Crawford. He’s nothing special, and is only rated so high because there is literally no other SS with a chance to make the big leagues in this draft. There are guys I prefer over Crawford (minimally), but Crawford has been linked to the Jays, whereas others like Hunter Renfroe have not. Crawford isn’t a stand out in the field or with the bat. This is the one guy that I would be utterly disappointed with the Jays drafting, even if he signs under slot value.

For more info on the Draft, check out the latest episode of the BJP Podcast, where Gideon and Ewan talked with Jeremy Nygaard about the players the Jays might take.

You can follow me on twitter, @Canucks_BlueJay.

To connect with the site, Follow us on Twitter, and Like us on Facebook.

2013 MLB Mock Draft: Part 1

Guest Post by: Donn Parris

*Views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of BlueJaysPlus.com and its staff. For our draft opinions, you can read the article written by Marshall yesterday, or the one Ewan will be posting today.


This is the second year I have been asked to participate in providing my opinions on the MLB Rule IV Draft.  This was a much harder year for me as the talent pool seems to be down from last year.  Enjoy reading and keep an open mind as I tried to pick the best fit for each club so that each selection would be provided with the best opportunities to become the Big Leaguer they all wish to become.  Decisions were based on past draft history, advisor and the previous ability to develop players within the organizations.



33. Yankees   - Nick Ciuffo, C, Lexington HS, SC

Nick is just one of many quality HS Catchers in this draft and the Yankees are still in need of quality receivers.  Ciuffo has the moxie to handle the pressures that go along with being a top prospect in an organization that is followed so closely by its fan base that it frightens many that are not aware of the stalker like treatment they receive.  Ciuffo is a good choice and will compete and grow in the system.  I don’t know how good his system is but it will get much better very quickly if I am right with this selection. 


32. Yankees – Oscar Mercado, SS, Gaither HS, FL
The Yankees do not have a single top 20 prospect in their system and that needs to change.  They have been anchored by the Captain for a very long time and the time to fill the system with shortstops is here.  I see the Yankees using several picks on athletic players and the focus needs to be up the middle.  Mercado is a step in the right direction.


31. Braves – Chris Anderson, RHP, Jacksonville University  FL
I see the Braves looking to add a right hander like Anderson to their deep player development system.  Not willing to over spend and needing to spend their money wisely, Anderson fits the bill.  A hard thrower with a higher ceiling than most in this draft, Atlanta should be happy he is still available for them to make this selection.  It will still take a phone call right before the selection to test the waters.  As long as the Braves are in the ball park with the money, the signing of Anderson should move along quickly.


30. Rangers – Ryan Boldt, OF, Ring Wing HS, MINN
Midwest goes Southwest and Boldt is a good fit into a system that will allow him time to get better at his pace.  If Boldt had a choice (and he doesn’t) he could not have picked a better organization for his skills.  He will be supported and not pushed and allowed to grow and not be judged to quickly and given the time to establish himself in the system.  With 3 young Top Prospect outfielders in Hickory (Mazara, Brinson, Guzman) he can push or pull them with him in the future.



29. Rays – Kevin Ziomek, LHP, Vanderbilt, TN
Drafted by the Dbacks in 2010, Kevin chose Vanderbilt over pro ball.  Ziomek grew while at Vandy into a man and polished his abilities and got a jump start on his education.  Ziomek must realize it is time to venture out into the world of professional baseball and compete the way he can.  The Rays will do well in drafting Ziomek and allowing their top rate Player development department to polish this fast raiser. It is easy to see Ziomek in a Rays uniform by the end of 2014 season and far into the future as the 4th or 5th starter.



28. Cardinals  - Tim Anderson, SS/OF, East Central CC, MISS
 Anderson is a fast riser based mostly on the fact he is still learning to play baseball.  The Cardinals are an organization that develops players. Anderson has raw tools.  His speed and defensive ability grade as future pluses and he has shown really good athleticism up the middle. Offensively the hit tool is his biggest question. He shows bat speed, and some power projection. He really is a tool shed, the question is will he learn to use them?



27. Reds – Aaron Judge, OF, Fresno State CA
The “Queen City” needs a Judge and GM Walt Jocketty and SD Chris Buckley find a power bat in Northern California.  The Reds fans are very familiar with players like Judge (as in 1998 First round selection Austin Kearns and second round draft pick Adam Dunn).  I see Judge fitting well and at pick 27 the Reds get a player that can go straight to Bakersfield and be comfortable in the environment.



26. Yankees  - Rob Kaminsky, LHP,  St Joseph Regional HS, NJ
The talent coming out of Jersey has been really good lately and Kaminsky will not disappoint.  Left handed and two plus pitches mean Rob can survive the Yankee System that tends to slow progression of its prospects.  I see things changing in New York and prospects will have less of a tight leash .  This is a smart pick for the Yankees but without inside information and if Kaminsky is unsignable for value, I can see the Yankees selecting Vandy Left hander Kevin Ziomek here.



25. Giants - Eric Jagielo, 3B /OF, Notre Dame IL
Scouting Director John Barr likes college players and is an excellent evaluator of talent.  The Giants organization is one of the best of making the picks work and develop. They just don’t tend to give up on players and Jagielo seems to be the type of player the Giants would get the most out of via development.  The thought of Eric being drafted here is simple.  The Giants could use a player that hits and has shown power and the ability to get on base.  Pack three gloves Eric because no one knows when the brick dust settles what defensive position you will be playing.



24. Athletics – Michael Lorenzen, OF /Closer,  CS Fullerton CA
As Nike says - JUST DO IT.  Michael “Cowboy” Lorenzen is the real deal and Oakland would be blessed to get him.  All indications lead to him being available and he would be the steal of the draft at 24.  All- around athlete with ability to lead and follow in the clubhouse.  The Athletics would be the best organization for him and when the time comes, I will have my fingers crossed that I hear his name called.



23. Rangers – Jon Denny, C, Yukon HS, OK
The Rangers could use a compliment to top prospect Jorge Alfaro.  (SAL)  To do a comparison of the two players, Denny is a year younger but bigger and stronger already.  Both are thought to have + arms and will hit at the big league level. Denny again gets the nod at the power grade, but just one grade above.  That being said, Jon Denny is an ideal selection for the Rangers in securing a future receiver of what is and seems to always be a talented staff of arms.



22. Orioles – Andy McGuire, SS, James Madison HS, VA
Having received little notoriety this spring, McGuire is said to be healthy and he might be a harder sign to get away from the University of Texas even after a down year.  I could see a team such as the Orioles making a run at McGuire and they should.  Now I am not saying he will have the early success of Manny Machado, but I do see McGuire as a way to compliment Machado in the future on the left side of the infield.  For me bigger bats, plays the corner spot. 



21. Rays - Phillip Ervin, OF, Samford University AL
Ervin is everything that has been right in Tampa.  He is the perfect fit to an outfield that could become the best in the current game.  Younger than both Wil Myers and Drew Vettleson, Ervin provides the ++ run tool and defender.  These three youngsters in the same outfield would be electric.  Let’s not forget current outfielder Desmond Jennings who would be all of 30 years old in the 2016 season, when I estimate the three all being on the 25 man roster for the Rays.


20. Tigers  - Braden Shipley, RHP, University of Nevada  NV
With the real possibility of 2 average major league pitches and a plus plus fastball, Shipley has what it takes to be a true 3rd starter in a top notch organization.  Shipley threw 107 innings already so I see the Tigers monitoring him for the remainder of the summer, bringing him to instructs and then an early spring training to evaluate and assign.  His ETA to the big leagues could be as early as 2015 as the 3rd starter as a compliment to Verlander  (2020) and Sanchez (2018). 


19. Cardinals – Hunter Harvey, RHP, Bandys HS, NC
Time to replenish the shelves.  The Cardinals scouting and player development departments have exceeded all true expectations.  A player like Harvey in my opinion goes a long way as to seeing if the Cardinals are the gold standard in both areas.  Harvey has bloodlines and raw ability.  I don’t know if any one player in the draft comes with the highest amount of risk and highest ceiling.  Harvey is like a very fine clay that needs to spend a great deal of time on the potter’s wheel.  The Cardinals are the right place for Harvey.



18. Dodgers – Colin Moran, 3B, UNC NC
Let’s just say depth is good. The Dodgers selected Corey Seager with last years 18th pick.  This year they go get another third baseman from the state of North Carolina.  Moran is projected to be drafted higher but as to a fit it is easy for me to see Colin drafted signed and sent to High A Rancho Cucamonga immediately.  The difference in age between Moran and Seger is just 18 months.  There is no reason not to believe if both players accomplish what Logan White believes that they can’t anchor the corner positions in Chavez Ravine a very long time.



17. White Sox  - Trey Ball, LHP, New Castle HS IN
Probably no organization knows Ball better.  White Sox Midwest crosschecker Mike Shirley has been giving New Castle (Ind.) High lefthander Trey Ball private lessons for the past couple years. (Connor Glassey BBA) White Sox Scouting Director Doug Laumann does a wonderful job evaluating talent and I get the feeling Ball is the target.  The war room will cheer in unison if they are able to select Ball. South siders are crossing every finger and toe.


Picks 16-1 coming later today.

Donn Parris – Owner of Draft Prospectus, is a speaker, coach, trainer and consultant specializing MLB Rule 4 Draft and in creating parent-child, coach-player communication breakthroughs and functional and positive cultures. www.mydraftprepnow.com Twitter @draftprospectus http://www.blogtalkradio.com/search/seamheads-saturday/