Guest Post by: Donn Parris
*Views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of BlueJaysPlus.com and its staff. For our draft opinions, you can read the article written by Marshall yesterday, or the one Ewan has posted today.
*Views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of BlueJaysPlus.com and its staff. For our draft opinions, you can read the article written by Marshall yesterday, or the one Ewan has posted today.
This is the second year I have been asked to participate in providing my opinions on the MLB Rule IV Draft. This was a much harder year for me as the talent pool seems to be down from last year. Enjoy reading and keep an open mind as I tried to pick the best fit for each club so that each selection would be provided with the best opportunities to become the Big Leaguer they all wish to become. Decisions were based on past draft history, advisor and the previous ability to develop players within the organizations.
16. Phillies – Ian Clarkin, LHP, Madison HS San Diego CA
Call it a sucker pick, but with everything Cole Hamels
became in the Phillies system, why not go to the well twice. Many find it easy to compare the two and they
share a lot in common. Unless a player
from the top of this list like Kohl Stewart makes himself more available,
Clarkin is the name I think is the best fit the City of Brotherly Love.
15. Diamondbacks – Jonathon Crawford, RHP, University of
Florida FL
For an organization with such balance in the Top 10
prospects, Crawford is a safe pick. A
stallion on the mound, professional baseball and player development will refine
the harness and the power and Crawford moves relatively quickly to the big
leagues.
14. Pirates - Sean Manaea, LHP, Indiana University IN
Remember that earlier LHP I mentioned??? If his advisor and GM Huntington can come to
terms this may be the answer. If not,
then pirates get another first round pick next year. (Pick #15) Manaea has some health concerns
and that allows the Pirates to offer below recommended money. Again it is all about the medical and his
advisor. See him going back to college.
13. Padres – JP Crawford, SS, Lakewood HS CA
Right Fit, Right Time, Future Big Leaguer. Just think that the choice of JP would be
overall the best pick in the entire first round for this club. It just feels right. Seeing JP take groundballs at Petco in August
during the 2012 Perfect Game Rawlings
All American just looked right.
Bloodlines and mental maturity and body that will get strong are all
reasons why the Padres make Crawford their selection.
12. Mariners - Hunter Renfroe, OF, Mississippi State MS
Once again Tom McNamara rolls the dice on a player with
giant upside that other organizations shy away from, at least as Top 15 picks.
This draft is not the deepest in college outfield talent so I can see Renfroe
being the Mariners Selection. Good
Choice!
11. Mets - Ryne Stanek, RHP, University of Arkansas AK
The Mets will be attempting to duplicate the magic they
found in Matt Harvey. Power arm that
needs to be refined as to command but is a work horse and that is a plus for
any rotation. There are a few college
arms that could go here but my thinking is that Stanek has the highest
rewards. If it doesn’t work out, the
Mets have no trouble trading him away to another organization willing to tweak
and fix his command issues.
10. Blue Jays – Dominic Smith, 1B/OF, Serra HS CA
Alex Anthopoulos covets Athletes and players that have a higher
ceiling than others. A gunslinger
approach to the draft and to dealing players, Smith is a fit on Toronto and the
player development system that is in place.
I will not be surprised that any player pick here will be under paid by
recommendation but still paid quite well.
Smith will still be on the board here and my feeling is this is a prime
spot for Dominic to be selected and Toronto to make the deal.
9. Pirates – Phil Bickford, RHP, Oaks Christian HS CA
Like Young Arms? Then
the Pirates should not pass up on this youngster. Bickford has helium and that lands him in
Pirate City. Over draft?? Not for me,
but it is a player that you can make a pre-draft offer and save money. They must sign the pick or lose it as it is
compensation for Appel. My offer is 2.3M
and Bickford is a Pirate. Just saying he will look great in Black and Yellow on
a staff of Cole, Taillon, Kingham, Bickford and ??? LHP.
8. Royals - Clint
Frazier, OF Loganville HS GA
Let’s load up the Outfield in Kansas City. Many have said they need pitching and I agree
- just not this year, this draft. Unless
Gray or Appel fall to them, the Royals need to build from within and via the
draft. Frazier fits and Dayton Moore
loves players like Frazier. Just look at
how he has treated Frenchy (Jeff Francoeur).
For me, the only way Frazier is not a Royal is that Meadows is available
because the Indians selected Frazier first.
Either way, Dayton Moore gets a Georgia High School Outfielder.
7. Red Sox – Reese McGuire, C Kentwood HS WA
The Red Sox signed, Swihart, they hoped they were getting an athletic
switch-hitter who could develop the skills to stay behind the plate. Blake is
now in Advance A with Salem and it is time to restock with a prospect and Reese
McGuire to me is a solid, low risk prospect in the mold of Jason Varitek. It is easy for me to see Reese guiding the
Red Sox from behind the dish for years in the future. As for Swihart, first base will work just fine and both can
be together and form the nucleus of the organization.
6. Marlins - Jonathon Gray, RHP, University of Oklahoma
OK
The heavens shine down on VP of Scouting / Scouting Director
Stan Meek as Gray in my draft falls right to his open arms. Gray fits the Marlins system and is the best
organization for him at this time. Meek
and the Marlins love big country bodies and strong arms. Gray to Miami just is a great fit. Gray will no doubt go higher as GM’s are not
the ones reading my stuff so if Gray goes #1 just flip him and Bryant. The players involved are much better off my
way but maybe the Marlins trade Bryant to Houston as they trade Matt Dominguez
to them.
5. Indians - Austin
Meadows, OF Grayson HS GA
Tyler Naquin needs a partner to secure the outfield at the
Jake and the Indians need to trust their guts and draft and sign a special
player. Austin Meadows is a baseball rat
and is a tool shed. The Indians would do
well with making this selection and allowing Meadows to grow in the
system. Never a club to rush prospects,
Meadows will endear himself to the organization and Grady’s ladies can
resurface as Austin’s Admirers.
4. Twins – Marco Gonzales, LHP Gonzaga University WA
It’s time for Deron Johnson to go get the organization a
Left Handed Starting pitcher and the Twins like athletic players. Previous drafts have proven successful when
the Twins use their top picks on athletes.
This is a good pick that saves money as the twins have the 7th
highest amount of recommended money. They will be looking to secure some top
talents which are willing to be over drafted / underpaid and players on Day 2
that don’t want to continue their education and are willing to sign for fair value,
just not over the top money.
3. Rockies - DJ Peterson, 1B, University of New Mexico NM
This just makes sense - a corner infield with some chops. Peterson has jumped through the college hoops
and flat hits the ball along way. The
Rockies need another knight on the board to compliment Arenado and Peterson is
that knight!! Checkmate National League
West.
2. CHICAGO Cubs –
Mark Appel, RHP, Stanford CA
Appel and Boras will be the problem with Theo and his gang
of North Siders. The Windy city and
their loyal fans will embrace Mark for what he is – a hardworking, educated person
with plus make up. Mark should fit into
the Cubs system and living in what is described as a medium to high class area
around Wrigley should help Mark become acclimated quickly into the professional
game. There is little risk in the selection
1. 1.HOUSTON Astros – Kris Bryant, 3B, University of San Diego CA
Working behind the scenes this plays out to the benefit of
both parties involved. Houston cuts a
deal for a mature MLB ready bat? The
stats guys in the front office go fishing ... will they catch a Blue Marlin or a
Tuna? Bryant signs below recommended saving
money and that allows Houston to settle.
Bryant is High Risk, High Reward.
He doesn’t have a position other than the batter’s box. This pick only makes sense since the Astros
have moved to the American League.
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